Hari Seldon & Robert House
Here is the comparison between Isaac Asimov’s Psychohistory and Robert House’s theory in Fallout:
The Shared Foundation: Mathematical Certainty
Both Hari Seldon and Robert House believe that human history isn't a series of random events, but a predictable flow that can be calculated. House uses "mathematical paradigms" to track socioeconomic trends, just as Seldon uses the "Law of Large Numbers." They both reached the same conclusion: the current civilization was doomed to collapse, and an "End of the World" or "Dark Age" was a mathematical certainty.
Different Goals: The Savior vs. The CEO
The biggest difference lies in why they use the math.
Hari Seldon is a philanthropist. His goal is to save knowledge and minimize the suffering of billions of people. He creates the Foundation to act as a seed for a new civilization, and he remains a distant, guiding figure.
Robert House, on the other hand, is an autocrat. His theory is designed to help him "win" the game of history. He uses his calculations to decide when to put himself in stasis, how to protect his specific interests (New Vegas), and how to emerge as the leader of the post-apocalyptic world. For House, the math is a tool for survival and personal control.
The Problem of the "Unknown Variable"
Both theories struggle with things they cannot predict. In Asimov's world, it was The Mule, a mutant who didn't fit the statistical average of a "normal human."
In Fallout Season 2, House expresses frustration over "other players" at the table. He realizes that while he can predict the behavior of the masses, he cannot perfectly predict the actions of specific, powerful individuals—like Cooper Howard or the shadowy figures at Vault-Tec—who have the power to shift the timeline.
Human Agency vs. Determinism
Both stories ask the same deep question: Is the future set in stone?
Asimov suggests that while the "big picture" is set, individuals (like the Second Foundation) must work hard to keep it on track. House suggests that the world is a game of poker; the math tells you the odds, but a single "wild card" player can still ruin your perfect hand.
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