CORRELATION, CAUSATION & BELIEF SYSTEM
Steven and Stasha are connecting three distinct epistemological ideas: observation, inference, and prior belief on The Diary of a CEO (July 27, 2026). Steven says: "And we're arriving at a conclusion based on some factors that we can see, which is often correlation and not necessarily causation." He's describing a classic problem in medicine and science. We often notice that two things occur together—for example: People with low vitamin D have higher rates of depression. Coffee drinkers live longer. Patients taking a certain supplement recover more quickly. Those are correlations. They tell us that variables move together, but they don't tell us why. Possible explanations include: A causes B. B causes A. A third factor causes both. The association is partly or entirely due to chance or bias. This is why medicine prizes randomized controlled trials: they are designed to isolate causation from mere association. Steven is therefore making an epistemic point: wha...